Florida vs. Miami Preview: Odds, Prediction, and Key Matchups

The spotlight is on the Sunshine State this weekend as Florida hosts No. 4 Miami, a clash of in-state rivals with very different trajectories. For the Gators, it’s a chance to regroup after another rocky start, while the Hurricanes look to keep their national title hopes alive.
Florida Searching for Stability
The Gators enter the matchup at 1-2 for the second straight season, coming off a rough loss to No. 3 LSU. Freshman quarterback DJ Lagway struggled in Baton Rouge, throwing five interceptions in a 20-10 defeat. Florida’s offense, plagued by inconsistency and turnovers, will need a major turnaround to keep pace with one of the hottest teams in the country.Miami on a Championship Path
On the other side, Miami is thriving under head coach Mario Cristobal in his fourth season. The Hurricanes opened the year with a statement win over then-No. 6 Notre Dame and followed it with a 49-12 rout of No. 18 South Florida.The ‘Canes dominated on the ground with 205 rushing yards, while their defense allowed just 40 yards on 27 carries—an area where Florida has shown vulnerability, giving up 128 yards to the same Bulls a week earlier.
Odds and Prediction
Miami comes in as a clear favorite, backed by a balanced offense and one of the nation’s stingiest defenses. Florida’s key to pulling an upset will be limiting turnovers and finding rhythm early against a relentless Hurricanes pass rush.Prediction: Miami 31, Florida 17
Spread Lean: Miami (-10.5)
Over/Under: Lean Under
This rivalry always delivers intensity, but with Miami looking like a playoff contender and Florida struggling to find its footing, the edge goes firmly to the Hurricanes.